Cisco Mobile VNI 2015: 10x Data Increase In The Next Five Years

Global mobile networks will see a tenfold increase in the data in the next five years, according to Cisco Visual Networking Index Mobile is planned for 2015. The traffic to reach an annual rate of 292 exabytes in 2019, compared to 30 exabytes in 2014 . to get a perspective on the amount of data that the figure of 292 exabytes-reflection, Cisco said it would compare to 65 trillion images (23 per person on the planet, a day for a year), or 6 trillion movies like YouTube.

Due to continued subscriber growth and growth in the number of devices to subscribers, the number of mobile phone users worldwide is expected to reach 5.2 billion in 2019 - more than 69% of the population worldwide be a mobile user. As for the devices, Cisco estimates that in five years there will be about 11.5 billion of devices and / or mobile connections, of which 8.3 billion will be 3.2 billion personal devices and machine-to-machine . Comparatively, Cisco accounted for 7.4 billion of total connections last year.

Arielle Summits, senior analyst Cisco VNI team, said that compared with fixed telephony ecosystem Cisco also examines each year, mobile networks and traffic are "more dynamic and rapidly evolving."
The results of cell NAV 2015:

• Cisco said that 88% of global mobile traffic has been called "smart" traffic, which is classified as "computing power / advanced multimedia" and at least at the level of 3G. It is expected that the intelligent traffic to reach 97% of total traffic in 2019.
• The data given some understanding of how the global wireless ecosystem is changing. For example, even as it becomes more widely used 4G, 2G is still expected to be the dominant cellular technology in the world until 2017, when it is expected to supplant 3G. In 2019, Cisco said, 3G networks will carry 44% of mobile devices and connections. While 4G will account for 26% of connections to that point, 68% of traffic is generated.
• Access continues to play an important role in the download. Cisco said that 46% of mobile data traffic has been discharged mobile dual mode - excluding portable - supporting both cellular and Wi-Fi coverage. In 2019, he said, 54% of mobile data will be downloaded. If downloading Wi-Fi was not available, mobile networks are even faster growth: A compound annual growth rate of 65% instead of 57%, Cisco said.
• It is expected that the average user cabinet for more videos, compared to three hours per month in 2014 to 30 hours in 2019, which will boost Cisco provides 72% of mobile traffic, from 55% in 2014.
Cisco has also shown a couple of the more interesting trends: Wait Voice over Wi-Fi to play an important role in the next five years, has now introduced the carrier-grade WiFi. The company plans to overcome VoWiFi voice traffic over LTE traffic even in his early days in 2017 and it is estimated that by 2019, VoWiFi represent 53% of all mobile IP voice traffic.

We believe that voice over WiFi could become very important in the context of discharge, Sumits said. He said the scenario was a bit "of a wildcard, but said the barriers to VoLTE VoWiFi distribution are lower and the number of devices that can use the technology are also higher.
In addition, Cisco has explored the possibility of unlimited calling plans could make a return, based on data from Tier 1 and Tier 2 carriers. Usha Andra analyst team of Cisco VNI, the analysis showed that while 1% of mobile phone users has generated 52% of data traffic in 2010, in 2014 only accounted for 18% of traffic leaving open the possibility that companies may be able to provide data protection if so inclined.